Egypt and the Baradei

Having not visited Egypt for sometime  makes it difficult to be objective in criticizing the constitution and the workings of the politics. However, looking at the economic indices we cannot deny that there is economic progress and development.
Having said that, it is necessary to ask: Is that the optimum economic progress that the country could have attained? With no doubt the answer is no. relying on indices in assessing the progress of a country can be deceptive and cannot reflect the actual situation of the workings of the politics and the markets in the country.
The level of poverty in the country have increased with no doubt, yet the GDP per capita increased resulting in increased disparity in income between the rich and the poor (Gini Coefficient), not that the number of the rich have increased. The major problem the poor are having in Egypt is the exclusion from political participation and misrepresentation. In my opinion not only the poor are excluded from political participation, but also the youth and the eroded middle class. Of course, we are not talking here about the elites of the youth, which the national party present and use whenever change is demanded; we are talking about the ordinary youth and their energy that rests idle in the midst of a changing world that calls on every muscle to join the struggle against the economic dominance of China and the developed world.
The workings of the politics have lead to segregation of the community based on connections, not racial and tribal factors, but based on creation of islands of interests, attached to the ruling party, that serves as a monopoly. Such monopoly kills every talent and will that seek participation and growth. The tools for such social apartheid are numerous, from a controlled state media that serves like professional character assassin, to a brutal police force that can be deployed under any cause to suppress the demanding voices when need arises.
Another question needs to be answered, who opposes the change, in spite of the numerous people calling for it? With no doubt those  are the beneficiaries of such statuesque. They are too lazy to create new connections in a new system and not sure if the new system will condone the economic atrocities that they have committed.
It is not normal that the sustainability of an economic system in a country of 80 millions to be tied to the presence of one person even if it is the president, he is not immortal. The negative fluctuation of the money and stocks markets when roomers erupts about his health, shows with no doubt that monopoly and autocracy is prevailing in such system and it would be risky for any foreign or even local investor to invest trasparently in such country.
In the end, it is necessary to mention that the voices calling on Mr. Baradei to partake in the Egyptian election for presidency are sentimental and emotional. Mr. Baradei has not indicated what he can do to take over such role, and what would be his vision for the country if he becomes the president. It seems that those voices are so desperate for change and Mr. Baradei ask them to pave the way for him instead of working his way through.

The wondering mind of

NED.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY, Mandela….

The last respectable standing man Madiba, or Mr. Mandela is celebrating his 90th birthday this week. I wish him a happy many returns.

Mandela has announced 2 years ago his official retirement from politics, yet he is and shall always continue to be the father of the African Continent and South Africa…..he is the lasting symbol of the old good days of morals, ideology, and African dreams……

Africa may have let you down but your birthday may inspire the hopeless African youth that there could be a better tomorrow if the believed in Africa, their continent and in their identity…..the younger African leaders may always looked around for easy allies to global recognition, but Madiba proved that to change people beliefs and nations destinies can only happen if one start by believing in oneself and ones dreams…..recognition starts from within.

Mr. Madiba on your birthday I salute you as a leader of all the past and future leaders…..

Happy Birthday!!!

Ned

Democracy and The Poor

Prahalad in his masterpiece “The Fortune At The Bottom of The Pyramid” enumerated the poor of the world to be about 4.0 billion people out of the 6.5 Billion occupying our planet (excluding UFOs of course). He said that the poor represent a “latent Market” for goods and services. He saw the numbers in that market, the same way the politicians see the poor during election times. Prahalad mentions that the basic economics in the markets at the BOP is based on small packaging of units, low margin, high volume and high return on the capital employed. I may have misunderstood him but what he mainly says to the multi-nationals is package your products in small packages, yet with the same profit margin or higher and use the poor. The previous statement is reflected during a discussion group in the elegant study of Naryan and al “The Voice of The Poor -Crying Out For Change” The study stated that the people in poor areas sometimes have to pay more for what they do get or have to provide services for themselves.

The position of a politicians during a political campaign may not differ in context but may differ in content. The needs of the Poor are simple, as emphasized by Naryan’s study; a simple job, an effective public health service and usable infrastructure. Yet they are not getting it. So now a politician role is to package those demands in little packages and make promises.

In developing countries of Africa, usually the poor finds it quite entertaining and profitable to attend the election campaigns. In some places in Africa it was recently announced that the bidding cost for vote’s can go up $3000 each. While in the North Africa the situation did not differ much but the cost is far less. Usually the women are the prime customers or targets of those campaigns, where campaigners or their sponsors promise them a basket of food and some cash that varies between U.S.$2.0 to $20 per vote. The same voters are also warned not to renegade as they are watched closely even in the privacy of the cubicles of the election station. In other sub-Saharan Africa the election process is less costly; rigging of elections is the main theme of the day. Some people were talking about ghostly election and that the dead are so loyal to the system and keen on voting, to the extent that their papers voting papers fill the ballots before those of the living.

Of course it is quite cheaper to pay such immediate tributes – especially if it is coming from the state coffers – than trying to achieve the long term investments in the dreams of the poor and realizing it. The later process requires a lot of work, determination and energy. While politicians in the election aftermath are usually either busy recovering investment or expanding their investments portfolios.

The question is “can people under dire needs elect”, can a group that is suffering the eco-harshness and illiteracy elect or can people suffering from epidemics and contaminated water, plants and soil elect. Do they have really the freedom of thought? Can they compare and question a politician or those sponsoring him, asking them for change? What are their tools for enforcing their will in case he or she failed to deliver on the campaign promises?, rather to remain waiting for the next campaign that may be rigged or never come? Are they educated enough to know their rights?. Are they allowed the freedom of speech to negotiate and discuss their future without being harassed by military or police brutality? Does anyone listen to them? Of course the purpose of these questions is not recommending exclusion but devising a real mechanism for performance monitoring for politicians, especially in Africa, without the interference of any influence group, super-power or interest group. If any one claims that parliaments in Africa and alike can monitor, I fail to agree, as they need to be monitored. It is a mind probing question.

While International Organizations talk about reinforcing NGOs to monitor, they only finance those who can dance to their tunes. One of the most entertainment sessions is when you see an employee of an International Organizations or official talks about their work for the poor and how they care for them. The funny aspect is that the offices of such officials in the African countries are always located in the richest business areas (miles from poor) and after work they drive to the rich neighborhoods, to enjoy a full belly, good pints of Blue Label or parading from one nonsense reception to another.

How can they feel the needs of the poor and how can they really assist the poor when they failed to stop all the criminal military activities and the wars in Africa. Recently when I was listening to one of those officials talking about Darfoor, I wanted to ask him “what did you really do to assist?, send bags of food and bunch of armed soldiers that systematically abuse and rape girls in those declared peacefully kept areas!!!…that is all…

Getting the people in these devastated areas busy working, doing something useful, is better than the allocations to military arsenal and peace claimed operations. Proposing or building industrial areas and giving it to the people to manage or create some management team from your posh employees to generate income in the communities can be more worthy. Building roads and providing water, away from the antics of the World Bank, can be more effective than the state of indecisiveness which only the technocrats enjoy as excuse to extend their employment contracts.

The ora-politics (from oral) of International Organization or their lip services are impressive, when it comes to covering up the ill deeds. I think it is time for this world to seek better and honest endeavors than financing arms and members of secret societies. It is time to listen to demonstrations of human rights groups rather than using them only when need arises to destabilize impudent states.

I hope above can start a meaningful discussion in that regard.

Criticned